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Strategic Study of CAE >> 2024, Volume 26, Issue 2 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2024.07.007

Medium- and Long-Term Challenges and Countermeasures for China’s CH4 Emission Control

1. School of Management, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, Fujian, China;

2. School of Management, China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing, Beijing 100083, China;

3. Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development, Beijing 100083;

4. National Key Laboratory for Green Mining of Multi-resource Collaborative Continental Shale Oil, Daqing 163712, Heilongjiang, China

Funding project:中国工程院咨询项目“中国中长期甲烷控排战略研究”(2023-XZ-44),“面向2040 的我国能源系统转型重大风险防控战略研究”(2023-ZCQ-11);国家自然科学基金项目(72088101, 72374175) Received: 2024-01-29 Revised: 2024-03-02 Available online: 2024-03-22

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Abstract

Methane (CH4) is the second largest greenhouse gas in the world, and controlling CH4 emissions has climate, environment, safety, and economic benefits. China’s CH4 emissions are relatively large, and conducting medium- and long-term research on CH4 emission control strategies is crucial for the construction of a greenhouse gas emission reduction capacity system in China. Considering the scientific basis of CH4 emission control, this study analyzes the characteristics of CH4 emissions in China and explores the challenges faced by CH4 emission control. The logic of medium- and long-term CH4 emission control is clarified from three aspects: overall management and control idea, action directions of CH4 emission control in various fields, and system architecture of technologies and measures to reduce emissions. Corresponding countermeasures are then provided. The study concludes that China’s medium- and long-term actions regarding CH4  emission control will be constrained by the following problems: (1) large amount of CH4 emissions and differences among sectors and regions, (2) uncertain trends in emissions and specific paths, (3) unclear potentials of technologies and measures for emission reduction, and (4) insufficient capabilities to quantify risks and set targets for emission reduction. The CH4 emission control work of China should be strategically planned based on a long-term perspective, starting from setting overall emission control targets, assigning and implementing responsibilities, consolidating emission reduction capabilities, and enhancing the joint force of management and control. Additionally, institutional, technological, and model innovation should be promoted in a coordinated manner to accelerate the reduction in CH4 emissions.

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