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Strategic Study of CAE >> 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6

Pondering over the scientific thinking of earthquake prediction from the miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake—re-discussing Li Siguang’s earthquake prediction thought

Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing 100037, China

Received: 2009-03-13 Available online: 2009-06-15 15:31:06.000

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Abstract

According to the experience and problems of seismic monitoring and earthquake prediction for many years in China, it was discussed the earthquake mechanism, preliminary methods for prediction research and the mechanism and miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake, analyzed prediction precursor of short-term and impending earthquake, seismometry application limitation and ground stress transfer and track, and put forward 9 suggestions for future earthquake prediction.

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